Atlanta Water Shortage

For the last few days, most storm models have been showing Fay either missing us completely or just giving us a few bands of rain.  However, now we’re starting to see some models that show the potential for some substantial rain.

The photo at right shows the potential rainfall for the six hour period starting at 2pm Saturday.  Based on that, we could see 3-4 inches in that timeframe, plus some rain before/after the six hour window.

The next few days should start clearing it up either way.

(via Lawrenceville Weather Blog)

The latest computer models are showing that Tropical Storm Fay could hit the Florida panhandle and travel north into Georgia during the middle of next week.

We’ve said for a while that what Lake Lanier needs is a tropical storm to dump a ton of rain onto it.  It’s a longshot, but this could be the one.  It’s certainly worth keeping an eye on.

That’s the big question.  It’s a debate that started back in 1990, when Alabama wanted to prevent the Army Corps of Enginerrs from giving more water to Atlanta.

Alabama and Florida say that supplying Atlanta with water is just a secondary benefit of Lanier — not part of it’s primary purpose.  Georgia, of course, disagrees.

The AJC has the full story with more information.

It’s August, so it’s time to welcome back the scorching temperatures.  The Lawrenceville Weather Blog is reporting that today was unofficially the hottest day of the year so far.  Last August was brutally hot across Georgia, resulting in a significant drop in Lake Lanier’s water level.  It’s unlikely that this year will be quite that hot, as it was the one of the hottest Augusts since 1980.

Despite the cooler temperatures, we could still see another large drop in Lanier’s level.  As rkolter pointed out, last year we had a ton of restrictions and people were very water-conscious.  This year there are fewer restrictions in place and water is rarely in the news.

Last August saw a drop of 2.37 feet (1064.14 to 1061.77).  Do you think August will see a greater drop, a lesser drop, or no drop at all?

It’s been a few months since I’ve done one of these charts, but I thought it was probably time to do another one.  These next few months will be very interesting, so here’s where we stand right now.

I won’t say much else, since our previous post covered it pretty well.

As seen in Ken Cook’s blog, July was the rainiest month we’ve had in nearly two years, with a total of 7.17″ at the Atlanta airport, which is 2.05″ above average.  It also cuts our rainfall deficit for the year to just five inches, compared to the 14 inch deficit we were facing at this point last year.

The bad news is that Lanier continues to drop.  It went from 1056.23′ on July 1 to 1055.15′ on August 1, or a drop of just over a foot. Last year on August 1 we were at 1064.14′, so we’re quite a bit behind that.

Last August is when the lake really began to drop, losing nearly 2.5 feet in August, and over three feet in both September and October.  The record low is 1050.79, set on December 26 last year.  If we see similar drops in the next few months, we’ll blow past that record.

This month should be very telling…